EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESS RELEASE Press Release

Exhibit 99.1

Penn Virginia Resource Partners, L.P.

Three Radnor Corporate Center, Suite 300, 100 Matsonford Road, Radnor, PA 19087

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

 

Contact: James W. Dean, Director, Investor Relations

Ph: (610) 687-8900 Fax: (610) 687-3688 E-Mail: invest@pennvirginia.com

PENN VIRGINIA RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

ANNOUNCES FIRST QUARTER 2007 RESULTS

RADNOR, PA (BusinessWire) May 2, 2007 – Penn Virginia Resource Partners, L.P. (NYSE: PVR) today reported financial and operational results for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and provided an update of full-year 2007 guidance.

Financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2007 included the following:

 

   

Distributable cash flow of $26.0 million, as compared to $24.0 million in the prior year quarter;

 

   

Operating income of $22.3 million, as compared to $18.2 million in the prior year quarter;

 

   

Net income of $16.4 million, or $0.30 per limited partner unit, as compared to $8.3 million, or $0.19 per limited partner unit, in the prior year quarter;

 

   

Coal production by lessees of 8.3 million tons, as compared to 7.7 million tons in the prior year quarter;

 

   

Average coal royalty of $3.02 per ton, as compared to an average coal royalty of $2.90 per ton in the prior year quarter;

 

   

Natural gas midstream system throughput volumes of 15.9 billion cubic feet (Bcf), or 177 million cubic feet (MMcf) per day, as compared to 14.2 Bcf, or 158 MMcf per day, in the prior year quarter; and

 

   

Gross midstream processing margin of $15.6 million, or $0.98 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf), as compared to $10.5 million, or $0.74 per Mcf, in the prior year quarter.

A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures appears in the financial tables later in this release.

The increase in operating income for the quarter was due primarily to increased operating income from the natural gas midstream segment, fueled by higher system throughput volumes and gross processing margin. Coal segment operating income also increased as the result of higher lessee coal production and average coal royalty rates offset in part by increased operating expenses.

The increase in net income was primarily due to the increase in operating income discussed above, reduced effects of changes in the valuation of unrealized derivative positions and a decrease in interest expense.

Cash Distribution

As previously announced, on May 15, 2007 PVR will pay to unitholders of record as of May 4, 2007 a quarterly cash distribution covering the period January 1 through March 31, 2007 in the amount of $0.41 per unit, or an annualized rate of $1.64 per unit. This annualized distribution represents a $0.04 per unit increase over the annualized distribution of $1.60 per unit paid in the prior two quarters.


Management Comment

A. James Dearlove, Chief Executive Officer of PVR, said, “We are pleased to report a good first quarter of 2007 for PVR. We recently raised the annualized distribution for PVR from $1.60 per unit to $1.64 per unit, a 2.5 percent increase from the prior quarter.

“During the first quarter of 2007, coal production by our lessees remained strong, as did the pricing for the coal they produced and the royalties we received. To date, the declines in spot coal prices have primarily impacted operations that have a high cost structure and those that do not have long-term contract prices in place. In PVR’s case, most of our lessees are lower-cost operators with long-term contracts for the majority of their production. Rebounding natural gas prices in the first quarter of 2007 have helped bolster coal industry fundamentals, while at the same time excess coal stockpiles are being depleted due to reduced production and increased demand. We continue to explore coal reserve acquisition opportunities and expect to continue to grow our coal reserve holdings via acquisitions in the future.

“Our natural gas gathering and processing business, operating as PVR Midstream, provided the majority of the increase in PVR’s operating income and cash flow in the first quarter of 2007, as compared to the prior year’s quarter. First quarter 2007 processing margins declined from historically high levels in 2006; however, our concerns entering 2007 regarding a further compression of processing margins have diminished, as processing margins are expected to be strong for the remainder of 2007. We expect to grow PVR Midstream through acquisitions of midstream assets and through organic growth of our existing gathering and processing assets to service increased gas supply.”

Coal Segment Review

Coal production by PVR’s lessees increased seven percent to 8.3 million tons in the first quarter of 2007 from 7.7 million tons in the prior year, primarily due to acquisitions. The 0.6 million ton increase was primarily attributable to higher lessee production in central Appalachia.

First quarter 2007 operating income in PVR’s coal segment was $17.9 million, or five percent higher than the $17.1 million in the prior year. Revenues increased 12 percent to $28.5 million in the first quarter of 2007 from $25.3 million in the prior year and coal royalty revenues increased 11 percent to $25.0 million in the first quarter of 2007 from $22.4 million in the prior year. The increases were due to the seven percent increase in coal production by PVR’s lessees and a four percent increase in the average coal royalty, from $2.90 per ton in the first quarter of 2006 to $3.02 per ton in the first quarter of 2007.

Expenses increased from $8.3 million in the first quarter of 2006 to $10.6 million in the first quarter of 2007, a 28 percent increase, primarily due to: (i) a $1.2 million increase in operating expense, largely as a result of the acquisition of a sub-leased property in May 2006; (ii) a $0.7 million increase in depreciation, depletion and amortization expense due to higher coal production by lessees; and (iii) a $0.4 million increase in general and administrative expense, largely related to acquisition activities.

Natural Gas Midstream Segment Review

System throughput volumes at PVR’s gas processing plants and gathering systems increased 12 percent to 15.9 Bcf, or approximately 177 MMcf per day, in the first quarter of 2007, from the 14.2 Bcf, or approximately 158 MMcf per day, in the prior year. The increase was primarily due to higher average daily system throughput volumes resulting from the pipeline acquisition completed in the second quarter of 2006 and successful drilling results of local producers.


First quarter 2007 operating income in PVR’s natural gas midstream segment was $4.4 million, or 267 percent higher than the $1.2 million in the prior year. The gross midstream processing margin increased 48 percent to $15.6 million, or $0.98 per Mcf, in the first quarter of 2007, from $10.5 million, or $0.74 per Mcf, in the prior year, mainly as a result of increased system throughput volumes, complemented by the 32 percent increase in gross midstream processing margin per Mcf.

Expenses, other than cost of gas purchased, increased from $10.0 million in the first quarter of 2006 to $11.5 million in the first quarter of 2007, primarily due to increased operating expenses associated with the increased system throughput volumes.

Capital Resources and Impact of Derivatives

As of March 31, 2007, PVR’s outstanding borrowings were $223.1 million, including $11.8 million of senior unsecured notes classified as current portion of long-term debt, an increase from $218.0 million as of December 31, 2006. The increase in outstanding borrowings was primarily due to capital expenditures from prior year acquisitions. Due to the lower weighted average level of outstanding borrowings during the first quarter of 2007 as compared to the first quarter of 2006, consolidated interest expense decreased from $4.1 million in the first quarter of 2006 to $3.5 million in the first quarter of 2007.

For the first quarter of 2007, losses on derivatives were $2.6 million as compared to a loss of $6.1 million in the first quarter of 2006. Cash settlements of derivatives included in these amounts resulted in net cash payments of $2.1 million during the first quarter of 2007, compared to net cash payments of $2.7 million in the prior year quarter. See the Guidance Table included in this release for detail of derivative positions as of March 31, 2007.

Guidance for 2007

See the Guidance Table included in this release for guidance estimates for full-year 2007. These estimates, including capital expenditure plans, are meant to provide guidance only and are subject to revision as PVR’s operating environment changes.

Conference Call

A joint conference call and webcast, during which management will discuss first quarter 2007 results for PVR and Penn Virginia GP Holdings, L.P. (NYSE: PVG), is scheduled for Thursday, May 3, 2007 at 1:00 p.m. ET Prepared remarks by A. James Dearlove, Chief Executive Officer, will be followed by a question and answer period. Investors and analysts may participate via phone by dialing 1-877-407-9205 five to ten minutes before the scheduled start of the conference call, or via webcast by logging on to the PVR’s website at www.pvresource.com at least 20 minutes prior to the scheduled start of the call to download and install any necessary audio software. A telephone replay of the call will be available until May 17, 2007 at 11:59 p.m. ET by dialing 1-877-660-6853 and using the following replay pass codes: account #286, conference ID #237705. An on-demand replay of the conference call will be available at PVR’s website beginning shortly after the call.

******

Headquartered in Radnor, PA, Penn Virginia Resource Partners, L.P. (NYSE: PVR) is a publicly traded limited partnership formed by Penn Virginia Corporation (NYSE: PVA). PVR manages coal properties and related assets and operates a midstream natural gas gathering and processing business.

For more information about PVR, visit PVR’s website at www.pvresource.com.

Certain statements contained herein that are not descriptions of historical facts are “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Because such statements include risks, uncertainties and contingencies, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and contingencies include, but are not limited to, the following: PVR’s ability to generate sufficient cash from its midstream and coal businesses to pay the minimum quarterly distribution to its general partner and its unitholders; energy prices generally and specifically, the price of natural gas and the price of NGLs; the relationship between natural gas and NGL prices; the price of coal and its comparison to the price of natural gas and oil; the volatility


of commodity prices for coal, natural gas and NGLs; the projected demand for coal, natural gas and NGLs; the projected supply of coal, natural gas and NGLs; PVR’s ability to successfully manage its relatively new natural gas midstream business; PVR’s ability to acquire new coal reserves or midstream assets on satisfactory terms and to integrate effectively these new operations; the price for which coal reserves can be acquired; PVR’s ability to continually find and contract for new sources of natural gas supply; PVR’s ability to retain existing or acquire new midstream customers; PVR’s ability to lease new and existing coal reserves; the ability of PVR’s lessees to produce sufficient quantities of coal on an economic basis from PVR’s reserves; the ability of PVR’s lessees to obtain favorable contracts for coal produced from PVR’s reserves; competition among producers in the coal industry generally and among natural gas midstream companies; PVR’s exposure to the credit risk of its coal lessees and midstream customers; the extent to which the amount and quality of PVR’s actual production differ from its estimated recoverable proved coal reserves; hazards or operating risks incidental to midstream operations; unanticipated geological problems; the dependence of PVR’s midstream business on having connections to third party pipelines; the availability of required materials and equipment; the occurrence of unusual weather or operating conditions including force majeure events; the failure of PVR’s infrastructure and its lessees’ mining equipment or processes to operate in accordance with specifications or expectations; delays in anticipated start-up dates of PVR’s lessees’ mining operations and related coal infrastructure projects; environmental risks affecting the mining of coal reserves and the production, gathering and processing of natural gas; the timing of receipt of necessary governmental permits by PVR’s lessees; the risks associated with having or not having price risk management programs; labor relations and costs; accidents; changes in governmental regulation or enforcement practices, especially with respect to environmental, health and safety matters, including with respect to emissions levels applicable to coal-burning power generators; uncertainties relating to the outcome of current and future litigation regarding mine permitting; risks and uncertainties relating to general domestic and international economic (including inflation and interest rates) and political conditions (including the impact of potential terrorist attacks); the experience and financial condition of PVR’s lessees, including their ability to satisfy their royalty, environmental, reclamation and other obligations to PVR and others; PVR’s ability to expand its midstream business by constructing new gathering systems, pipelines and processing facilities on an economic basis and in a timely manner; coal handling joint venture operations; changes in financial market conditions; and the completion of PVG’s initial public offering.

Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in PVR’s press releases and public periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including PVR’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005. Many of the factors that will determine PVR’s future results are beyond the ability of management to control or predict. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which reflect management’s views only as of the date hereof. PVR undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements, or to make any other forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.


PENN VIRGINIA RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME - unaudited

(in thousands, except per share data)

 

    

Three Months Ended

March 31,

 
     2007     2006  

Revenues

    

Natural gas midstream

   $ 95,318     $ 109,181  

Coal royalties

     25,000       22,422  

Coal services

     1,601       1,426  

Other

     2,281       2,135  
                

Total revenues

     124,200       135,164  
                

Expenses

    

Cost of midstream gas purchased

     79,731       98,651  

Operating

     5,514       3,478  

Taxes other than income

     843       698  

General and administrative

     5,639       5,270  

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     10,133       8,821  
                

Total expenses

     101,860       116,918  
                

Operating Income

     22,340       18,246  

Interest expense

     (3,547 )     (4,067 )

Interest income

     287       294  

Derivatives

     (2,647 )     (6,133 )
                

Net income

   $ 16,433     $ 8,340  
                

Allocation of net income:

    

General partner’s interest in net income

   $ 2,494     $ 510  

Limited partners’ interest in net income

   $ 13,939     $ 7,830  

Basic and diluted net income per limited partner unit, common, Class B and subordinated

   $ 0.30     $ 0.19  

Weighted average units outstanding:

    

Common

     42,061       33,994  

Class B

     4,045       —    

Subordinated

     —         7,650  

Other data:

    

Coal segment:

    

Coal royalty tons (in thousands)

     8,284       7,720  

Average gross coal royalty ($ per ton)

   $ 3.02     $ 2.90  

Natural gas midstream segment:

    

Throughput volumes (MMcf)

     15,900       14,200  

Gross midstream processing margin (in thousands)

   $ 15,587     $ 10,530  


PENN VIRGINIA RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(in thousands)

 

     March 31,
2007
   December 31,
2006
     (unaudited)     

Assets

     

Cash

   $ 12,491    $ 11,440

Receivables

     71,071      66,987

Derivative assets

     4,533      449

Other current assets

     2,349      2,587
             

Total current assets

     90,444      81,463

Property and equipment, net

     553,680      556,513

Equity investments

     25,588      25,355

Goodwill and intangibles, net

     39,603      40,763

Derivative assets

     2,092      2,455

Other long-term assets

     7,438      7,474
             

Total assets

   $ 718,845    $ 714,023
             

Liabilities and Partners’ Capital

     

Current portion of long-term debt

   $ 11,839    $ 10,832

Accounts payable and accrued liabilities

     64,206      63,253

Derivative liabilities

     11,778      6,996

Deferred income

     7,283      6,999
             

Total current liabilities

     95,106      88,080

Derivative liabilities

     6,505      6,618

Other long-term liabilities

     7,069      9,931

Long-term debt

     211,248      207,214

Partners’ capital

     398,917      402,180
             

Total liabilities and partners’ capital

   $ 718,845    $ 714,023
             

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS - unaudited

(in thousands)

 

    

Three Months Ended

March 31, 2007

 
     2007     2006  

Operating Activities

    

Net income

   $ 16,433     $ 8,340  

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:

    

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     10,133       8,821  

Commodity derivative contracts:

    

Total derivative losses

     3,490       5,872  

Cash settlements of derivatives

     (2,072 )     (2,922 )

Noncash interest expense

     165       191  

Equity earnings, net of distributions received

     (233 )     (330 )

Changes in operating assets and liabilities

     (4,398 )     (6,655 )
                

Net cash provided by operating activities

     23,518       13,317  
                

Investing Activities

    

Acquisitions, net of cash acquired

     (339 )     (3,069 )

Additions to property and equipment

     (7,002 )     (5,496 )

Other

     43       —    
                

Net cash used in investing activities

     (7,298 )     (8,565 )
                

Financing Activities

    

Proceeds from (repayments of) borrowings, net

     5,000       (3,300 )

Proceeds from issuance of Class B units

     860       —    

Distributions to partners

     (21,029 )     (15,524 )
                

Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities

     (15,169 )     (18,824 )
                

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

     1,051       (14,072 )

Cash and cash equivalents-beginning balance

     11,440       23,193  
                

Cash and cash equivalents-ending balance

   $ 12,491     $ 9,121  
                


PENN VIRGINIA RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

YEAR-TO-DATE SEGMENT INFORMATION - unaudited

(Dollars in thousands except where noted)

 

     Coal   

Natural Gas

Midstream

   Consolidated

Three Months ended March 31, 2007

        

Revenues

        

Natural gas midstream

   $ —      $ 95,318    $ 95,318

Coal royalties

     25,000      —        25,000

Coal services

     1,601      —        1,601

Other

     1,883      398      2,281
                    

Total revenues

     28,484      95,716      124,200
                    

Expenses

        

Cost of midstream gas purchased

     —        79,731      79,731

Operating

     2,155      3,359      5,514

Taxes other than income

     323      520      843

General and administrative

     2,616      3,023      5,639

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     5,490      4,643      10,133
                    

Total expenses

     10,584      91,276      101,860
                    

Operating Income

   $ 17,900    $ 4,440    $ 22,340
                    

Production

        

Coal royalty tons (thousands of tons)

     8,284      

Throughput volumes (Mmcf)

        15,900   

Additions to property and equipment and acquisitions, net of cash acquired

   $ 1,336    $ 6,005    $ 7,341
     Coal    Natural Gas
Midstream
   Consolidated

Three Months ended March 31, 2006

        

Revenues

        

Natural gas midstream

   $ —      $ 109,181    $ 109,181

Coal royalties

     22,422      —        22,422

Coal services

     1,426      —        1,426

Other

     1,480      655      2,135
                    

Total revenues

     25,328      109,836      135,164
                    

Expenses

        

Cost of midstream gas purchased

     —        98,651      98,651

Operating

     969      2,509      3,478

Taxes other than income

     310      388      698

General and administrative

     2,230      3,040      5,270

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     4,752      4,069      8,821
                    

Total expenses

     8,261      108,657      116,918
                    

Operating Income

   $ 17,067    $ 1,179    $ 18,246
                    

Production

        

Coal royalty tons (thousands of tons)

     7,720      

Throughput volumes (Mmcf)

        14,200   

Additions to property and equipment and acquisitions, net of cash acquired

   $ 6,004    $ 2,561    $ 8,565


PENN VIRGINIA RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

RECONCILIATION OF CERTAIN NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES - unaudited

(in thousands)

 

    

Three Months Ended

March 31,

 
     2007     2006  

Reconciliation of GAAP “Net income” to Non-GAAP “Distributable cash flow”

    

Net income

   $ 16,433     $ 8,340  

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     10,133       8,821  

Commodity derivative contracts:

    

Derivative (gains) losses included in operating income

     843       (261 )

Derivative (gains) losses included in other income

     2,647       6,133  

Cash settlements of derivatives for period

     (2,072 )     (2,922 )

Non-cash cost of gas purchased

     —         4,551  

Maintenance capital expenditures

     (1,946 )     (655 )
                

Distributable cash flow (see Note 1)

   $ 26,038     $ 24,007  
                

Reconciliation of GAAP “Additions to property and equipment” to Non-GAAP “Capital expenditures”

    

Additions to property and equipment

   $ 7,002     $ 5,496  

Acquisitions, net of cash acquired

     339       3,069  

Change in accrued capital expenditures

     706       (1,072 )
                

Capital expenditures (see Note 2)

   $ 8,047     $ 7,493  
                

Note 1 - Distributable cash flow represents net income plus depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, derivative losses (gains) included in operations and cash paid for derivative settlements, minus non-cash cost of gas purchased minus maintenance capital expenditures. Maintenance capital expenditures are capital expenditures (as defined by GAAP) which are not expansion capital expenditures. Distributable cash flow is presented because management believes it is a useful adjunct to net cash provided by operating activities under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). Distributable cash flow is a significant liquidity metric which is an indicator of PVR’s ability to generate cash flows at a level that can sustain or support an increase in quarterly cash distributions paid to its partners. Distributable cash flow is also the quantitative standard used throughout the investment community with respect to publicly-traded partnerships. Distributable cash flow is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to cash flows from operating, investing or financing activities, as an indicator of cash flows or as a measure of liquidity.

Note 2 - Capital expenditures represents cash additions to property and equipment, plus cash paid for acquisitions and other expenditures and change in accrued capital expenditures. Management believes capital expenditures provide useful information regarding PVR’s capital program as a supplement to cash additions to property and equipment.


PENN VIRGINIA RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

GUIDANCE TABLE

(Dollars and tons in millions)

Penn Virginia Resource Partners, L.P. is providing the following guidance regarding financial and operational expectations for 2007.

 

     Actual
First Quarter
2007
   

Guidance

Full Year

2007

 

Coal Segment:

        

Coal royalty tons (millions)

     8.3     31.0     -   33.0  

Revenues:

        

Average coal royalty per ton

   $ 3.02     2.85     -   2.95  

Other

   $ 3.5     13.0     -   15.0  

Expenses:

        

Operating expenses

   $ 5.1     18.0     -   20.0  

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

   $ 5.5     20.5     -   22.0  

Capital Expenditures:

        

Expansion and acquisitions

   $ 0.4     3.5     -   4.5  

Maintenance capital expenditures

   $ 0.1     0.1     -   0.2  

Total Coal Capital Expenditures

   $ 0.5     3.6     -   4.7  

Natural Gas Midstream Segment:

        

Throughput volumes (MMcf per day) - (a)

     177     180     -   190  

Expenses:

        

Operating expenses

   $ 6.9     27.0     -   29.0  

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

   $ 4.6     17.5     -   18.5  

Capital Expenditures:

        

Expansion and acquisitions

   $ 5.7     38.0     -   40.0  

Maintenance capital expenditures

   $ 1.9     12.0     -   14.0  

Total Midstream Capital Expenditures

   $ 7.6     50.0     -   54.0  

Other:

        

Interest expense:

        

Average long-term debt outstanding

   $ 221.8     220.0     -   230.0  

Interest rate

     6.2 %   6.8 %   -   7.2 %

These estimates are meant to provide guidance only and are subject to revision as the operating environment of Penn Virginia Resource Partners, L.P. changes.

See Note on following page.


PENN VIRGINIA RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

GUIDANCE TABLE

(Dollars and tons in millions)

Note to Guidance Table:

(a) The natural gas midstream segment’s derivative positions as of March 31, 2007, are summarized below:

 

    

Average

Volume

Per Day

  

Weighted

Average

Price

Ethane Swaps (revenue)    (in gallons)    (per gallon)

Second Quarter 2007 through Fourth Quarter 2007

   34,440    $ 0.5050

First Quarter 2008 through Fourth Quarter 2008

   34,440    $ 0.4700
Propane Swaps (revenue)    (in gallons)    (per gallon)

Second Quarter 2007 through Fourth Quarter 2007

   26,040    $ 0.7550

First Quarter 2008 through Fourth Quarter 2008

   26,040    $ 0.7175
Natural Gasoline Swaps (revenue)    (in gallons)    (per gallon)

Second Quarter 2007 through Fourth Quarter 2007

   23,520    $ 1.2650
Crude Oil Swaps (revenue)    (in barrels)    (per barrel)

Second Quarter 2007 through Fourth Quarter 2007

   560    $ 50.80

First Quarter 2008 through Fourth Quarter 2008

   560    $ 49.27
Crude Oil Swaps (cost of gas purchased)    (in barrels)    (per barrel)

Second Quarter 2007 through Fourth Quarter 2007

   560    $ 57.12
Natural Gas Swaps (cost of gas purchased)    (in MMbtu)    (per MMbtu)

Second Quarter 2007 through Fourth Quarter 2008

   4,000    $ 6.97

Management estimates that reflective of the above derivative positions, for every $1.00 per MMBtu decrease or increase in natural gas prices, forecasted natural gas midstream gross processing margin and operating income from May through December 2007 would increase or decrease, respectively, by approximately $8.1 million. This assumes oil and other liquids prices and inlet volumes remain constant at mid-April NYMEX futures or forecasted levels. In addition, management also estimates that reflective of the above derivative positions, for every $5.00 per barrel increase or decrease in the oil prices, forecasted natural gas midstream gross processing margin and operating income from May through December 2007 would increase or decrease, respectively, by approximately $7.8 million. This assumes natural gas prices and inlet volumes remain constant at mid-April NYMEX futures or forecasted levels. The estimates also assume plant operating conditions do not change.